MatthewBGM NewMedia M GOnline futurewebtrendsinnovationseries2007withjimmywales IMGSRC Flickr thethingaboutpredictions IMGSRC Flickr Computersinthefuturemayweighnomorethan1 5tons PopularMechanics forecastingtherelentlessmarchofscience 1949 Ithinkthereisaworldmarketformaybefivecomputers ThomasWatson chairmanofIBM 1943 640Koughttobeenoughforanybody BillGates 1981apocryphal Thereisnoreasonanyonewouldwantacomputerintheirhome KenOlson president chairmanandfounderofDigitalEquipmentCorp 1977 internetconnectivity Dirtcheap lighteningfast alwayson internetComputerslight dumbterminals neednetconnectiontoworkMostapplicationsweb basedforbestefficiency IMGSRC Flickr alldigitaldeviceswillbeconnected networked Fromyourcar radio phone fridge alwayson AnunconnecteddigitaldevicewillbeastrangethingWiMaxconnectedsunglasseswithvoicepromptedHUD riseofthemobileinternet Rapidimprovementsinconnectivity screensMobiletobedominantplatformforconnectingtonetworldwideJapan happenedalready mostlysurfwebthroughphones Voicecallspoweredbyinternet SMS Texts IMCellphoneselectronicwallets banks mainmethodofpaymentCitizensvoteforfirsttimeinelectionsviamobilephones riseofindividual entrepreneur Opensource unprecedentedaccesstocode applicationsCheaptocreatebusinessonline makeownmediaTeenagerinbasementsameopp asworkerinbigcompanyEXAMPLE Newmobileoperatingsystem Android stridesagainstdigitaldivide DevelopingworldjoinsdigitalecosystemviamobilephonesAlsobecomepartofeconomyviacellphonewalletMobilephonescheap broadbandubiquitousIlliteracyissuesovercomebyvideo audiostreamsCreatesnewareasofcollaborationandeducation almostnoprivacyontheweb YourdatawillbeoutthereItwillbeokbecauseeveryonewillbeinthesameboatSworkingserviceslikeFB theriseofthevirtualuniverse VirtualworldslikeSecondlifegomainstreamCometoforeasgraphiccards broadbandimprovePotentiallyavisualalternativetotheworldwidewebStandards differentworldsconnecttoeachotherseamlesslyVirtualcoupd etatbySLcitizens LindenLabscedesSLtodemocraticallyelectedvirtualgovt informationpollution overload NextbigchallengeishowtomanagemassesofinformationPeoplewillcomplainabout digitalfatigue digitalnoiseFocusondevelopingfilters aggregators Switch off holidaysregularlyprescribedbyyourdoctorRiseofanti digitalmovementsurging getbacktobasics Inresponsetoclutter asecondworldwidewebannounced moregoogles facebooks Google FacebookfinallygetgoodcompetitionMicrosoftreleasesOScodeandgoesopensourceMSmakesrevenuebysellingadvertising givingsupportAdvertisingismainbus model connectingsellers buyers FacebookbecomesavirtualOS desktop withMSinfluence declineofthenationstate Govthaslessinfluence controlthaneverbeforeTechnologiesthreatenexistingpower economicrelationshipsAlso musicindustryhasresisteddigitalaudioandNapsterButoppressiveregimesclampdownoninternetSomecountriesregressintodarkages andmedia mediadistribution production AllmediaeventuallydeliveredviainternetHardlyanyspecialistprint tv radiomediacompaniesleftAllfullyconverged broadcasting publishingviathenetMediaonmanydigitalplatforms MEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIA fragmentedmediaenvironment Non mediaplayersbecomedefactomediacompaniesMediaworldfilledwithnewcompetitorsCellphoneoperators handsetmakers mediacompaniesVodacomstopaggregating startproducingowncontentOperatorsalreadybigmediacompanies Voda 1 4musers Battlebetweenmedia cellphonecompanieslooming MEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIA noweveryoneisamediaplayer BarriertoentrydropsevenmoredramaticallyRiseofthereaderandtheconsumerReaders publishers broadcasters competitors collaboratorsSmall convergedmediachallengemediaconglomerates MEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIA roleofmediachanges Alsocontentaggregators facilitatorsBusinessmodel captureaudienceviaallmeansMediacompanieslooktoownchannels dealsforownphones Contentportals webapplications servicesSocialnetworksaswellascontenthubs MEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIA isthistheendofprint Books newspapersmagazines Readonflexibledigitalboards alwaysconnectedWebsites digitalnewspapersbecome samething Newspaperssmaller niched butnotextinctNewspapersbecomeexpensive luxuryitemsAlifestyleitem buyingan experience partof offtime MEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIAMEDIA IMGSRC WANN otherdevelopments othertrendsfornow thefuture SemanticwebentrenchedArtificialintelligenceAttentioneconomyinfullswingSophisticatedpersonalisationofcontentLocation based mappingservicescommon SRC ReadWrite Web JaxonRice Myblog Forgetcapitalismandtheclassstruggle thedigitalrevolutionischangingthingsfarmoredramaticallythanthehypemongerseverimagined themovefromasocietydominatedbyprintandbroadcastmassmediatotheageofinteractivityisatleastasdramaticasthemovefromfeudalismtocapitalism Netocracy byJanS derqvistandAlexanderBard 2001 IMGSRC Flickr Drivenbyinternetandmobilecommunications networksareturningintothemajormeansofdoingbusiness Simplyput networkswillmaketheworldgoround Socont