?34?5? ? ? Vol.34, No.520145Systems Engineering Theory F832.7: A !#“%$BH,:;100191)IJLKNMPORQNSRT31URV(WRXRY)19972009ZNPR,R_NSRTPaNbRcRdRePfRgRhRi,jRkNSRTRlPmRaNbPnRoRpRqPrRsMoran ItRuwv?sRxMoran ItRuRyMoranzNR|PR,PNSRTRlPmRaNbPnRoRdRePRRRyR NPN.RRRRR:RrRsRRSRTPaNbRcdRePgRfRRR,jRRRRRRRNPgRfRRR,RfRgR R RRaNbfRg;R,SRTPRRNPVRYNeRaNbPnRoRRNPRdRePRR,sRxRNRfRgRRR,aNbRcPnRoRsxRNPPRRR.RRaNbfRg;dRePRRR; Moran ItRu; MoranzNR|A spatial statistics analysis on finance agglomeration and regionalfinance development disparities in ChinaBU Hui, LIANG Xiao-zhen, PI Li(School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China)AbstractThis paper empirically studies the finance agglomeration and regional finance development disparities in China based on the sample of 31 provinces from 1997 to 2009. This paper calculates the degreeof finance agglomeration using different measures and compares the results. Also, this paper discusses thespatial dependence of finance industry and the evolution of it using Moral I test and Moral scatter plots.The results illustrate that finance industry does not show significant spatial dependence or agglomerationfor the whole country, however, there exists some area, where finance industry has some kind of spatial dependence.Keywords finance agglomeration; spatial statistics; Morans I index; Moran scatter plots1,?.,RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR.RNPRRRRRRRRRR,RRRRRR? ? ? ? ?.?R?,NPR?:RRRR RRRR?,RRRRR? ?!?“?#?$,? ?%?RRR RRRRR?RAR, B?+-(HI+-)?A?B?C.?D?E?F?G?HHK+-;N+-,I?I.J?K?+?,?L?M?N?OK?P?Q?R?S?4?6?8?9H“?:.4?6?89?:?T?U?V?W?X?Y?Z?OK?_?.a?b?c?d?4?6?8?9H:?T?+?,eO?f?g?h?iZ?j?k?l?m?n?4?6H8?9?o?:?;?p?q?r?s.t?u?vw0yx?z?10bHoover|-?:?n2003?6? 29K3-?6H?6?1?7?8?9?o?:,?b?4?6?1?7?8?9?H?n? ,Z?m?K:H?O.?w0y?24:?T?n?H20K?61993019970200202003H8?9?o?:,?n6?p?qH? ?F?G.?C,?Z?6?8?9?o?:?;? !F?G!Hj?k!?!.?1?7?bHU?V?n?Q?,?H?b?A?T?I?U?V.?.? ?K?(?1?)B?E?H?|!?!.c?U?V?e?a?!?!|;? ?F?G?o.?1?7?p?qH?;? ?F?G?o,?B?OK?|?;?QH?1?7?p?qH.? ?b?!HU?V,Y?n? ?U?VB?E?!E!H?!,!U!V!H8!9!:!n$? ?F?G?oH?E,?n?U?VH?b?;?,c? H?O.?,b?U?V,?n?6?8?9?_?H?!e?HZ?,c?n?k?b,c? H?.?: ? ? ?bHU?V; ?31K?6Hp?q?;?8?9?o?:?:?T?;!?!,?H ?n?4?68?9?:?T?U?VH?; ? ?a?b?H?Moran I?;Moran?31K?p?qH?h?i?,?1?7?Hr?s?,N?1?7?p?qH?;? ?F?G?o;?.2! !“!#!$!%?+?E!H+!+A+B!O+C+D!+E+F!1!7?EOA?B?C?D?H,G?He?L?I?e?:9?J?K.?:9?H?L:?T?:9!|?,=?bH?:9?!HU?V!e!?Moran I?(?Moran I)0Geary?(?Geary C|?)0Getis?(?Getis?);?M?:9?HU?V!e!?MN5OPRQ,S:TRURVRWRXRYRZRRRRR_RRaRbRcRdRe1173Moran Ii?(?MMoran Ii?)0?MGeary?w0?MGetis?;Moran?.?,?Moran I?N?fER?S?g?K?Z?1?7H?h?i;?Geary C|?W?:9?H?,?Moran I?jB?k?|;?Getis?N?l?:?hH9?8?,m?nD?8?9?oD?8?9.?MMoran Ii?R?S?p?Z?1?7?q?r?1?7?H?h!?i,m?e?s?9?8?h; Moran?R?S1?7?E?F?!?H?M!?8?t(n?n?8,o?n?8,o?o?8,n?o?8).c?d?U?V?uA?v?w?xH;02!:9!?H:!T?+w02!?8!H?6?yI.Q? ? ?p?17?zI?e?:9!?H?Moran I?,?O1?7?C?!+8+tHMoran?V.2.1|?Moran I?KGTBp?1?7?E?HD,M?b?Moran I?(Moran)25N?fER?S?Bg?K?Z?1?7E?H?h?i.?Moran I? ?M?,m?v?w?xH;?9?H:?T.1)?v?w?xH;vw?x,H;L?D.=OK?v?wxWnn?nK3?7H?E?F|,?t?:W =w11w12w1n w21w22w2n . wn1wn2wnn,?, wij?m?1?7i;jHE?F|,M?E?:?T.L?E?H?v?w?x?:wij=( 1,?1?7i;jE?, 0,?.L?H?v?w?x?:wij=( 1,?1?7i;jH?d, 0,?.?E?WHe?l?wiiY0.2)?:9?H:?TMoran I?:I =Pn i=1Pn j=1,j6=iwij(xi x)(xj x)S2Pn i=1Pn j=1,j6=iwij(1)?, S2=1 nPn i=1(xi x)2, x =1 nPn i=1xi, xi?m?1?7iHD, nY?1?7f, wijY?v?w?x?H?. IH?D? Y1,1.B?hH?, Moran IH?D?;?U?H?t?:E(I) = 1 n 1(2)V AR(I) =n2w1+ nw2+ 3w20 w20(n2 1) E(I)2(3)?, w0=Pn i=1Pn