哈尔滨工业大学华德应用技术学院毕业设计（论文）附录A洒水车发展史2010年的汽车产销量截至目前，专用洒水车已经是历史最高水平，但发改委却在这时明确表示，“十二五期间，国家将坚决控制汽车产能过剩”。曾几何时，警惕产能过剩的声音一直不绝于耳，但往往随着车市的火爆行情而不了了之。一时间硝烟再起，专用洒水车，运油车产能这一敏感话题，在传统旺季“金九银十”来临之际被提及，撩拨着整个汽车行业的神经。日本本土每年约销售1000万辆，出口1000万辆，其最高产能也在2000万辆左右。整个欧洲国家合计销售的最高纪录也在1700万辆左右。无数现成经验表明，2000万辆是一个难以突破的“产能魔咒”。美国曾创下1740万辆的新车销售巅峰纪录，但随后的十年逐年递减。中国有没有足够的实力证明，咱们可以在5年间卖到3200万辆？恐怕不一定。有因才有果。发改委的决心来源于数据的支持，据中国汽车技术研究中心、汽车产业政策研究室统计，到2015年年底，我国规划汽车产能将近3200万辆，这一数字几乎达到目前全球汽车每年总销量6000多万辆的一半。就在不远后的2015，中国需要这么多汽车吗？全世界需要如此之多的中国车吗？答案无疑是否定的。因为无论从原油、道路、城市容量、环境污染等方面来说，世界和中国都接纳不下太多汽车。事物的规律是盛极必衰，这不是危言耸听。因为美国已经在我们之前体验了这个恶果太多的汽车企业经历倒闭或被收购，连全球汽车巨头通用也差点“树倒猢狲散”。这也就是汽车社会发展的必然规律。从2020年开始到2035年，专用洒水车“谁也阻止不了中国汽车产业的全面萎缩，我们会在那个时候吞下产能过剩的恶果”如同2007年经济危机时在美国底特律看到的情形一样。照目前的情况发展下去，有专家预计专用洒水车。附录Bsprinkles2010 car volume at present, special sprinkles is a history top level, but the NDRC but when made it clear that 1025 period, countries will be resolutely control car excess capacity. Once upon a time, vigilance overcapacity voice incessant all, but often with the boom of Indonesia and the market disappear. Time now, special sprinkles, smoke transport capacity youchegang the sensitive topic, in the traditional season jin jiuyin 10 approaching mentioned, provocative the whole car industry, nerve. Japan each year about sales 1000 million vehicles, export 1000 million vehicles, the maximum capacity also in 2000 million vehicles or so. The whole European countries combined sales record in 1700 million vehicles or so. Countless ready experience shows that 2000 million vehicles is a hard break capacity spell. American once set 17.4 million vehicles new car sales peak, but then ten years record year is degressive. China is there enough strength proof in 5 years, we can sell to 32 million cars? Im afraid not. Have due to just have fruit. NDRC determination derived from the data support, according to Chinas auto technology research center, auto industry policy research statistics by 2015, the end of the year, our country planning regrouping nearly 32 million cars, this number almost reaches the current global car annual total sales more than 6,000 million vehicles in the first half. In the not too distant after 2015, China needs so many cars? The world need so many Chinese car? The answer is undoubtedly negative. Because no matter from crude oil, roads and urban capacity, pollution and other ways, the world and China have accepted not too many cars. The rule is is endemic things will decline, this is not true. Because America has before we experience the consequences - too many cars enterprise experience bankruptcy or takeover, even the global auto giant general also almost desert a sinking ship. This also auto is an inexorable law governing social advancement. From 2020 began to by 2035 special sprinkles who can prevent Chinas automobile industry to the comprehensive atrophy, we will at that time swallowed overcapacity consequences - like 2007 economic crisis in the United States as the situation to see Detroit. As things develop, some experts expect special sprinkles. - 11 -